Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.167318 1.323046 1.492892 1.692061 1.919443 2.171204 2.471459
2026-01-25 0.906512 1.112867 1.357425 1.669389 2.057869 2.527141 3.139196
2026-02-01 0.751590 0.974342 1.253780 1.631556 2.131272 2.772864 3.664259
2026-02-08 0.643302 0.871360 1.170898 1.595409 2.185326 2.981602 4.147215
2026-02-15 0.577779 0.812966 1.134449 1.609239 2.298205 3.270139 4.760313
2026-02-22 0.519236 0.755524 1.090105 1.602649 2.375632 3.509998 5.323129
2026-03-01 0.467060 0.700429 1.041547 1.581692 2.425316 3.708693 5.839656
2026-03-08 0.413884 0.637766 0.974524 1.523963 2.409788 3.802213 6.196160
2026-03-15 0.380545 0.601745 0.943676 1.517757 2.471937 4.019818 6.772067
2026-03-22 0.367295 0.595704 0.958374 1.584697 2.657527 4.453095 7.754422
2026-03-29 0.340879 0.565642 0.931272 1.579047 2.719380 4.683002 8.405477
2026-04-05 0.322686 0.547428 0.921700 1.601457 2.830392 5.006219 9.256539
2026-04-12 0.297930 0.518305 0.895250 1.599559 2.912345 5.312048 10.164647
2026-04-19 0.271762 0.484696 0.858688 1.577465 2.958611 5.565192 11.022340
2026-04-26 0.246898 0.450711 0.817666 1.541837 2.973777 5.758933 11.784987
2026-05-03 0.225211 0.420301 0.779928 1.507781 2.986967 5.948414 12.562046
2026-05-10 0.211887 0.404240 0.767266 1.520812 3.094909 6.339473 13.820975
2026-05-17 0.197615 0.384905 0.746303 1.514603 3.161879 6.652477 14.950557
2026-05-24 0.183271 0.364031 0.720232 1.494857 3.197394 6.901564 15.968310
2026-05-31 0.166762 0.337260 0.679798 1.440461 3.151089 6.965029 16.557429
2026-06-07 0.156590 0.322588 0.662764 1.434612 3.211902 7.275875 17.788809
2026-06-14 0.153572 0.322616 0.676397 1.497688 3.437051 7.992962 20.139273
2026-06-21 0.144763 0.309427 0.660530 1.492365 3.501225 8.335651 21.577755